Monday, October 12, 2009

"Cheeto-eating people in the basement working in their underwear who write blogs"





















Um...not them. Us. So much for the viral, intertubing Democratic grassroots.

The Republicans are rushing to the far Right, guns a-blazing--and the Obama forces, it seems, are in hot pursuit.

Read all about it here. Public health care option? Defenders are "the left of the left." Gay rights? Supporters are "naive," an "internet left fringe." Ditto if you want to shut down Gitmo, or leave Afghanistan.

Obama, everybody's pal, playing cynical machine politics? Say it isn't so.
And yet the evidence mounts: despite the fact that his party controls both houses of Congress, he's a President so apparently fussed about the right-wing insurgency and its insurrectionist potential that he's racing to close the gap. And countless members of the keyboard campaign that put him where he is today are left eating his dust.

[H/t West End Bob at Galloping Beaver]

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Comparative religion

On transgender:

Catholics vs. raging Islamists.

Happy T-Day, everyone





















A few sides, and then I must prepare for the feast in my mead-hall:


Hors d'oeuvres
  • The Liberals' Maximum Leader--all intellectual hat, no cattle--is plummeting in the polls. Well, that's not news, and hasn't been for weeks. But L. Ian MacDonald sums up (emphasis added) my own feelings of frustration, which, in pectore, have to be amplified considerably amongst the Liberal rank and file:

    Complaining that he has been "framed" by the Conservatives as "just visiting," just as Stéphane Dion was defined as "not a leader," Ignatieff declared: "I've got to lift that big frame off and let Canadians see who I really am, and we will be doing that."

    He added: "If there are certain things I need to do better, I am certainly going to be ready to try, because I want to listen to Canadians and improve my performance any way I can."

    Oh, for heaven's sake. Stop talking about it, and just do it.


  • Baby steps towards the recognition of the Armenian genocide. It's the complexity of these developments that, for me, casts Obama's Nobel in a kinder light. There is something to be said for setting wheels in motion towards alternatives, which is what Turkey and Armenia, and Barack Obama, have achieved so far.

    Getting there is something else, of course, but decisively setting out on the journey is laudable and worthy of recognition. In Obama's case one can caricature this as "not being George Bush," which of course is true, and also point to his current dithering about Afghanistan. But when the President speaks he is speaking for America, and he has signaled a significant change in that superpower's course, on the Middle East, on nuclear disarmament, on multilateralism, on climate change. Given the current political turbulence in the US, such bold moves are fraught with risk.
    Taking them, I believe, is quite an accomplishment all by itself.
Fixin's
  • She put a quick end to hopes last year for a coalition, described by Conservative supporters as a "coup." Now our Governor-General seems to be staging one of her own.

    The kerfuffle is leaving me cold, I'll admit: I'm a small-r republican, and would like us to shed the last of our feudal, imperial shackles, lightly-worn though they be. The fact that we have something called a Monarchist League tells me we haven't yet grown up.

    An elected Senate? Twist my arm. But if so, why not have an elected Head of State into the bargain?

  • And speaking of coups: two weights, two measures. The Right celebrated the recent Honduras coup against the elected President, Manuel Zelaya, as a blow struck for democracy and the constitution. Then the latter was inconveniently suspended by the golpistas as pro-Zelaya forces became more vocal. An agreement is being worked out between Zelaya and the coup leaders, but meanwhile the latter have decided to establish control of the media by decree:

    A government decree published in the official Gazette Saturday gave authorities the right to "revoke and cancel" licenses of radio and television stations considered to be a threat to "national security" and accused of spreading "hatred."

    Last month, the government of Roberto Micheletti, which came to power as the result of a June 28 military coup, already shut down Radio Globo and Channel 36 television seen as close to Zelaya and restricted freedom of assembly and movement.

    The new decree gives the coup leaders legal grounds for future similar measures, according to analysts.

    Oddly, when Hugo Chávez brought in somewhat milder measures in Venezuela, the conservatives were all over him, but for some reason the clampdown in Honduras seems to have escaped their notice.

  • The corporate media outdo themselves with scare-quotes today:

    'Exploited' workers rally for better rights

    'Abandoned' foreign workers rally for better rights


    And then the actual content:

    Joe Delena left a good job as a chef in Dubai for the promise of work, and a new life, in Edmonton.

    What he got was an employer who treated him "like a slave." When he worked overtime, there was no extra pay. Some weeks, he was given only 25 hours instead of the agreed-upon 40.

    ---

    Gil McGowan, president of the Alberta Federation of Labour, said the temporary foreign worker program has become "a massive tool for bringing in unskilled workers to work for wages that no Canadian would accept.

    "Now that the economy has slowed, the Tories have turned off the tap and are leaving these workers high and dry."

    Exploited? Abandoned? Sure sounds that way. But leave it up to "editors" of "newspapers" to be "fair and balanced," as usual.

Dessert
Have a fine Thanksgiving, everyone. Now, as noted, I need to go and make it happen.

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Right spite 'n' envy, Ch. 347





















Nobody does spite like the Right.

Attacking America in the tried and true spirit of Hamas and the Taliban is all that US conservatives seem to have left in their withered repertoire (some trenchant commentary about their generic ugliness here). And there are always new targets for conservatives to spray with acid. Here in Canada, admittedly dwarfed by the American wingnut cheers when they lost the Olympics and their derisive snorts when their President won a Nobel prize, we have the predictable conservative reaction to Dionne Brand becoming the poet laureate of Toronto.

When far-right ideologues hear the word "culture," they release the safety-catches of their Brownings, and this award is no exception. Leading the spite-wing assault are none other than Mr. Kathy Shaidle, whose spouse was once nominated, many, many years ago, for a G-G award for poetry when she still had a bit of promise, and the pathetic National Post columnist Marnie Soupcoff, who once got a degree in something incomprehensibly called "Writing Seminars." What a despicable and crass display of envy, if in one case by proxy.

And worse.

Damn, these people can't stand it when a Black person achieves something, whether it's the Presidency of a superpower, a Nobel prize, well-regarded books, a lifetime of distinguished academic production, or even a stint as the poet laureate of the largest city in Canada. Nope: the Presidency was a fluke, the Nobel prize was undeserved, the books were ghost-written, the academic works and the poetry are worthless.

The snark, the derision, the sneering contempt, the pure hatred, reminds me of the ironic riddle we used to tell
during the civil rights era in the 'sixties: "What do they call a Black person with three PhDs and a Nobel Prize? Answer: a n----r."

That old chestnut still resonates, but it's not a joke anymore--if it ever was.


[H/t Balbulican]

Women's bodies as sites of struggle

Tarek Fatah jumped the shark quite some time ago, but his increasing crankiness is still news. This time it's his enthusiastic support for a demand by the organization he used to lead, the tiny Muslim Canadian Congress, that the Canadian state outlaw the wearing of niqab. Actually, it goes further: the MCC wants Parliament to "ban the wearing of masks, burkas and niqabs in public."

So much for Hallowe'en.

But here, in any case, are his own arguments, and there are lessons to be learned therefrom:


Defenders of the burka contend that the wearing of a face-mask by Muslim women is protected by our Charter’s right to religious freedom. But such arguments are premised on the myth that a face-mask for women is a necessary part of religiously prescribed Islamic attire.

There are two difficulties here. The first is obvious: whether the practice is "cultural" or "religious" (and I have trouble separating the latter from the former), the Charter does come into play. Section 2 covers freedom of expression as well as religious belief; Section 7, security of the person. Robust arguments based on either or both sections could be advanced on behalf of a woman's choice of clothing, and furthermore it is impossible to believe that a government edict banning certain apparel could be saved by Section 1.

There is no requirement in Islam for Muslim women to cover their face. Rather, the practice reflects a mode of male control over women. Its association with Islam originates in Saudi Arabia, which seeks to export the practice of veiling — along with other elements of its extremist Wahhabist brand of Islam.

I might be tempted to agree with this observation, if not the conclusion that Fatah draws from it. But there is a difficulty, a classic one that can be found in the current debates over decriminalizing prostitution: do women have agency? Or are they merely soft wax upon which men impose their will?

A strong case can be made, for example, that the attire of many women in North America--miniskirts, high heels and so on--presupposes a male audience, real or hypothetical, and is imposed by the patriarchy. But try telling that to the women themselves!

The ever-earlier sexualization of girl-children, meanwhile, is raising alarm across the political spectrum. Is this imposed? It's hard to argue the contrary, even if the imposition is a complex one, involving peer pressure, advertising, the community, male-biased cultural values and so on. So when does imposition give way to free choice?

My mother’s generation threw off their burqas when Muslim countries gained their independence after the Second World War.

Again, a free choice from the sound of it.

Here in Canada, the debate about the niqab controversy surfaced recently in Toronto, when a judge ordered a Muslim woman to take off her niqab when she testified in a case of sexual assault. The woman invoked Islam as the reason why she wanted to give testimony while wearing a face-mask. She told the judge: “It’s a respect issue, one of modesty,” before adding that it was a matter of Islamic “honour.” (The judge denied her request.)

Elsewhere, a person wearing a burka and masquerading as a Muslim woman robbed a ScotiaBank branch in Mississauga and is still being hunted by police. Interestingly, none of the national newspapers covered the burka-bandit bank holdup, scared it seems that reporting the incident would attract accusations of racism and Islamophobia.

As is the case with all clothing, there are complex social interactions at play here: I have to remove my boots and hat when I go through airport security, for example, but this is hardly an argument for banning either. The bank-robbing example is already covered in the Criminal Code (Section 351[2]), and again is hardly an argument for abolition.

Some apologists of Islamism in academia and feminist groups bend the truth to make it sound as if their defence of the burka is a defence of tolerant Western values. What do these people have to say about laws against polygamy and slavery, both sanctioned in some parts of the Islamic world, but outlawed in Canada?

This is a strawwoman argument. There is no "defence of the burka" per se being advanced during the current debate (sparked by a recent ban on niqab at Cairo University), other than from the burka-wearers themselves. Rather, the question of choice is salient. I'll return to this point.

Other opponents of a ban on face-masks compare the burka to a bra. Wahida Valiante, chair of the Canadian Islamic Congress, said, “Women can take their bra off and we don’t have any laws against that. So in that context a woman can choose to cover their face in this country.” It was lost on Ms. Valiante that the burka conceals a person’s identity while a bra is female undergarment.

This is disingenuous. Once again, it's the matter of choice that is paramount, not how it is exercised.

The Canada I came to with my wife and daughters should not be a haven for a medieval, misogynist doctrine that traps women under the guise of liberalism and choice.

It is sad that while the rest of the world moves toward the goal of gender equality, right here in Europe and North America, under our very noses, Islamists are pushing back the clock, convincing educated Muslim women they are mere corrupting sexual objects and a source of sin.

There can be little doubt that some of that is in the mix. But what I find odd and offensive is that these "educated Muslim women" are so condescendingly described by Fatah. Poor brainwashed souls that they are, only the liberating force of government legislation can free them from their misconceptions.

Summing up Fatah's arguments, then, if some women in Canada want to walk around in niqab, they are in fact oppressed by a mediaeval, non-religious, misogynist custom, and must be rescued from themselves.

Hard-line feminists have said much the same thing in the past about miniskirts, heels and fishnets, although I don't recall their demanding government legislation to enforce an alternative norm. Once again, they had a point, but it wasn't the whole story. Social interaction, indeed the very construction of the "self," is complex, volatile, always in flux, with numerous contending forces at play.

When Gayatri Spivak concluded that the subaltern has no voice because even voice has been appropriated beforehand by the oppressor, and "liberation" merely reinscribes that voice in new ways, it is hard to see where this leads concretely but to a denial of agency on the part of the oppressed. However well-theorized, her position offers no way out.

It is more constructive, I think, while recognizing the persistent fallacy of an atomized human "individual," self-constructed, essentialized, pre-social, that we allow for the possibility of positive social change. If we create each other through social interaction, can we not also mutually create a society, if we choose, without subalterns and oppressors?

In any case, it may seem to bear out Spivak's hypothesis when we see, for example, strong feminists deliberately dressing in sexy outfits, but I see this as neither an incapacity to avoid replicating oppression, nor as an ideological contradiction. It's an exercise of will and power, whatever cultural vocabulary is involved.

To be sure we can argue about a patriarchal etiology of fashion, but that's really rather pointless and abstract. We know that such forms of expression sometimes appear to be imposed, sometimes are claimed by women as their own, and sometimes both at once. And we also know--or should know--that such apparel is never simply a matter of coercion, however we refine and redefine the latter concept.

I am wary of ideological prescriptions, because life cannot be reduced to a series of verbal commandments. But the irony of Fatah's approach is that it exactly mirrors, in fact reinscribes, the very form of prescription that he claims to oppose. On a woman's body, he simply proposes to replace one form of oppression with another, enforcing it, moreover, by state sanction.

Why not let the women decide for themselves, whatever we mean by that? (I once saw a young Muslim woman in a shopping mall, with a hijab and thigh-high boots--the body as a site of struggle indeed.) In the liberal society that Fatah pretends to support, this would go without saying.

But, without going into detail, this society, for women, is a minefield of coercive forces, as the continuing struggle over abortion indicates all too well. If the bodies of women are complex sites where various forces collide and contend, then women-as-subjects should be recognized as actively involved in this clash as well, and, if we mean what we say about gender equality, as privileged actors.

If women should not be reduced to sex objects, neither should they be reduced to political or social ones. But in taking the position he does, Fatah, with considerably less honesty than the anti-abortion (read: anti-feminist) movement, objectifies the women he claims he wants to liberate. By so doing offers them, not freedom, but the same old father-knows-best gender oppression--in fact, Wahhabism in reverse.

Friday, October 09, 2009

I'll take Antarctic Melting for $10 please Alex.

Mark Francis, in comments, wrote "Why don't you take a good swing at the kerfuffle over the recent Antarctica ice study by Marco Tedesco and Andrew Monaghan?" Now, that's more like it – the easy softball questions as opposed to Peter 1’s question about models (that one has kept me up all night for that last few days ;) )

The "TEDESCO AND MONAGHAN" paper is called An updated Antarctic melt record through 2009 and its linkages to high-latitude and tropical climate variability. It has made a splash in the skeptic world because it shows the smallest "snowmelt index anomaly" ever recorded (of course in this case, ever is since 1980).

To begin with, the snowmelt index is not the same thing as snow/ice loss. The index is defined as the number of melting days multiplied by the area of melt. It is measured by satellites looking in the microwave range since liquid water provides a very strong microwave reflection. Along the coast, there is a relation between ice/snow loss and the snowmelt index, but in the interior you can have huge areas that melt under the summer sun in the day but then freeze again at night (or what passes for night). Also, keep in mind that because of the thickness of the ice cap, most of the Antarctic surface is at an elevation of 2km above sea level which tends to make it a little cooler anyway.

However this paper is not looking only at the snowmelt index, but rather the relation between a couple of well known climate phenomena and the snowmelt index. In a nutshell, the authors show that there is a relationship between the snowmelt index and the SOI and the SAM.

The SOI is the Southern Oscillation Index and is a measure of the atmospheric pressure across the Pacific Ocean (this is related to el Nino and la Nina conditions which people are probably aware of). Essentially when the SOI is positive, we are in La Nina conditions. This means that the winds blow warm water in a generally west direction across the Pacific which piles up in Northern Australia and Indonesia.

The SAM is the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode and is another measure of atmospheric pressure difference, except this time between the southern hemisphere mid and high latitudes. When the SAM is positive you get a wind pattern forming over the Antarctic which essentially forms a “ring” of wind around 55 to 60 degrees latitude south. This wind essentially acts to insulate the Antarctic from the warmer northern areas.

Tedesco and Monaghan have shown that when both of these indices are positive then the snowmelt index is small (i.e. negative). This seems to make sense in a qualitative way since a positive SOI will mean cooler pacific waters and a positive SAM will mean a more insulated Antarctic. However this paper shows that there is a strong link in a quantitative i.e. statistical way (it is an inverse link since as the SOI and SAM go up, the snowmelt index goes down).

Now, comes the payoff! Over the last year, the SOI was the second highest for the study period and the SAM was the 4th highest for the study period. With such high values for both of these it seems expected to have a very small (smallest over the study period) snowmelt index. So rather than something new and shattering, the study provides an insight into how the climate factors interact and show that the current snowmelt is what we would expect given other climate factors and thus isn't probably the smoking gun that some make it out to be. (Although if anyone is interested, there will be a study coming out soon that looks at snow and ice loss over Greenland and the Antarctic using gravity measurements from satellites.)

In addition, the authors also point out that since the 1970’s the SAM has tended to be relatively high and it has been proposed that there is a connection between the high SAM and the loss of ozone over the South Pole. So as the ozone hole starts to heal in the future, the SAM is expected to decrease.

I will leave the final words to the authors themselves:

"Negative melting anomalies observed in recent years
do not contradict recently published results on surface
temperature trends over Antarctica [e.g., Steig et al.,
2009]. The time period used for those studies extends back
to the 1950’s, well beyond 1980, and the largest temperature
increases are found during winter and spring rather than
summer ..."


Funny how that part of the paper never gets quoted on the skeptic sites.


PS, first post so please excuse any formatting errors. I have not put a picture at the top since I didn't know how to - but more importantly I don't think I can match the Dr.'s talent for using the exactly correct graphic for each post.

"No dogs or Gypsies allowed"

My friend and frequent sparring partner Kateland draws our attention to the latest Harper government salvo against the Roma people.

I blogged earlier on the plight of the Roma in the Czech Republic, where they face discrimination (such as restaurant signs bearing the title of this post), violence and death. Immigration Minister Jason Kenney, a man with questionable associations, slapped a visa requirement on Czech nationals to prevent Roma from fleeing to Canada.

But the Czech Republic is not the only Eastern European country where Roma face intensifying everyday persecution countenanced by the state. In Hungary, the situation has become dire, as documented by Amnesty International. Needless to say, Roma are fleeing for their lives, and would appear to meet the UN definition of "refugee":


A person who owing to a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or political opinion, is outside the country of his nationality and is unable or, owing to such fear, is unwilling to avail himself of the protection of that country; or who, not having a nationality and being outside the country of his former habitual residence as a result of such events, is unable or, owing to such fear, is unwilling to return to it.

Kenney's department has its cold and beady eye on Hungary at the moment, precisely because some Roma are arriving here. But you'd never know that, reading some of the corporate media, as Kateland points out. The Ottawa Citizen, for example, makes no mention of Roma at all:

A sudden wave of refugee claimants has helped make Hungary Canada's top source of asylum-seekers, prompting the federal government to call on Budapest to take action -- possibly against organized crime elements, Canwest News Service has learned.

The government hasn't yet moved to impose visa restrictions on Hungary, as it did over the summer to deal with a flood of questionable claimants from Mexico and the Czech Republic.

But the federal government also hasn't ruled out that option after the number of asylum-seekers skyrocketed during the April-to-June period, making Hungary the third-highest source of claimants after Mexico and the Czech Republic in that period.

---

[Kenney spokesperson Alykhan Velshi] said the Canadian government, which has provoked anger and threats of retaliation by Prague and the EU as a result of the Czech visa decision, is looking for alternatives in the case of Hungary.

"We're working with (senior government officials) to see if there are others ways to resolve this issue -- whether crackdowns on organized crime networks encouraging unfounded asylum claims, or addressing the issue of unregistered immigration consultants misleading people into coming to Canada and making asylum claims."

So who, asks Kateland, are these Hungarians?

It turns out that the Citizen story omitted a salient fact, akin to reporting a family fleeing from a house while failing to note that the house was on fire. The Hungarians in question are Roma:

Andras Pap, who has written on inadequate Hungarian hate crime laws at the Central European University, expressed sympathy with Canada's concern about the credibility of the claims.

"Under current international law standards Hungarian Roma should not qualify as political refugees, even though Hungary should be much more stringent in providing protection to its minorities," he said in an e-mail Wednesday. "Such claims can legitimately be dismissed by Canadian authorities." But he said the re-imposition of a visa requirement would be both "unfriendly" and would do nothing to get Budapest to meet its domestic and international legal obligations to protect the Roma from discrimination and far-right violence, which is on the upswing.

International law is indeed clear on the matter. There is documented persecution of Roma in Hungary, with the state turning a blind eye. The International Declaration of Human Rights is plain:

Article 7.
· All are equal before the law and are entitled without any discrimination to equal protection of the law. All are entitled to equal protection against any discrimination in violation of this Declaration and against any incitement to such discrimination.

Article 8.
· Everyone has the right to an effective remedy by the competent national tribunals for acts violating the fundamental rights granted him by the constitution or by law.

The Declaration does not merely enjoin states from violating human rights, but places upon them the obligation to ensure that rights are not violated within its jurisdiction. For example, with respect to the right to food, General Comment 12, adopted by the UN Commission on Human Rights in 1999,

provided a typology for monitoring the different levels of state obligations under the ICESCR. The typology -- to respect, to protect and to fulfil -- is now generally applied to all economic, social and cultural rights. The obligation to respect refers to the state’s commitment not to undermine enjoyment of human rights either through action or failure to act; the obligation to protect requires the state to ensure that persons living within its jurisdiction do not suffer human rights violations at the hands of non-state actors; the obligation to fulfil requires the state to provide an institutional framework to ensure that rights can be effectively enjoyed in practice (to facilitate, and in cases of natural disaster or emergency to provide). [emphasis added]

Pap seems to be employing a bit of weasel-wording in his commentary, above. No doubt the Roma, chased out of their country by far-right thugs under the benign gaze of the Hungarian state, do not qualify as "political" refugees. But that was never the issue. They aren't being persecuted because of their politics, but because of their ethnicity.

Unfortunately, their ethnicity is what matters here as well. Once again the Harper government is behaving just as an earlier Canadian government did with Jews anxiously seeking asylum from the Holocaust: slamming the door in their desperate faces.

Those aren't fireworks...

...they're exploding wingnut heads.

Bravo, Mr. President.

[h/t reader Yoyo]

UPDATE: True to form and right on cue, the National Post's Jonathan Kay suggests more worthy recipients, including a genocidal South American President, a South-East Asian President presently running a chain of concentration camps, a former Israeli statesman who presided over the Sabra and Shatila slaughter, and an American general who wants to toss more troops into the Afghanisnam quagmire.

I'm not starry-eyed about Obama's foreign policy, but compared to Kay's bloodstained heroes the man virtually walks on water with an olive branch in his mouth.

Thursday, October 08, 2009

Authorers

As noted in my last post, Authorers are gaining traction, right up there with Birthers and Truthers, after Bill Ayers' put-on about ghostwriting Barack Obama's Dreams for my Father was taken as gospel by a colony of right-wing gulls.

The Orly Taitz of Authorerism is World Net Daily's Jack Cashill. Here's his case for the affirmative, in which a wealth of nonsense is amassed to "prove" the contention, if not conclusively (Cashill is a master of the "I'm not saying X for sure, but there's a lot of evidence pointing that way" school of hedging).

I slugged my way through this, and was going to let the whole thing drown in the helpless laughter of non-gulls everywhere, but I'm a blogger, dammit, and I just couldn't let it go so easily. Herewith, then, my comments about Cahill's assertions and methodology.


In 1995, Barack Obama produced a lyrical masterwork that Time magazine has called "the best-written memoir ever produced by an American politician." Yet all the Obama samples we have unearthed before 1995 are pedestrian and uninspired. There is no precedent for this kind of literary transformation.

Apparently Cashill has never heard of Walt Whitman. In fact, quite a few writers of stature penned embarrassingly bad juvenilia.

Consider the two following "nature" passages in Obama's and Ayers' respective memoirs, the first from "Fugitive Days":

"I picture the street coming alive, awakening from the fury of winter, stirred from the chilly spring night by cold glimmers of sunlight angling through the city."

The second from "Dreams":

"Night now fell in midafternoon, especially when the snowstorms rolled in, boundless prairie storms that set the sky close to the ground, the city lights reflected against the clouds."

These two sentences are alike in more than their poetic sense, their length and their gracefully layered structure. They tabulate nearly identically on the Flesch Reading Ease Score (FRES), something of a standard in the field.

The "Fugitive Days" excerpt scores a 54 on reading ease and a 12th-grade reading level. The "Dreams'" excerpt scores a 54.8 on reading ease and a 12th-grade reading level. Scores can range from 0 to 121, so hitting a nearly exact score matters.

Perhaps readers can fill me in, but as someone with a few qualifications of my own in the field of literary criticism, I'm at a loss to see any connection between the two passages quoted, other than the mention of weather in their urban environment and a descriptive high seriousness. And using Flesch on single sentences is like taking a poll sample of ten Canadian electors. Nonsense.

Another significant variable is sentence length. In comparing 30-sentence sequences from "Dreams" and "Fugitive Days," each of which relates the author's entry into the world of "community organizing," "Fugitive Days" averaged 23.13 words a sentence. "Dreams" averaged 23.36 words a sentence. By way of control, sentences in the memoir section of Cashill's book "Sucker Punch" average 15 words in length and scored considerably higher on the Flesch test.

In a random test of verb repetition, of the first 60 distinctive verbs in "Fugitive Days," an incredible 55 appear in "Dreams" and only 37 in "Sucker Punch" [Cashill's own memoir] despite the fact that Ayers is closer in age and education to Cashill than to Obama.

Impressed yet? Not I. We don't know which 30-sentence sequences have been chosen for comparison, or on what basis they were chosen. What Cashill describes in the second paragraph is hardly a "random test," but in any case, using his own memoir as a control is simply bizarre methodology. What were these verbs? What happens when you extend the sample to, say, a hundred verbs? Or restrict the sample to the first thirty?

I shall spare readers any more fisking, because it will make this post too lengthy. Instead, here's a summary.









Apparently Ayers and Obama shared similar observations of training versus education, and the tendency of schools to strip minorities of their own cultures. They both knew that the Hudson River in New York can flow in both directions because of tides. And both of them made reference to minority students turning on each other to curry favour with whites.

"
These are three [parallel stories] that we have found. We suspect there are more," says Cashill. He's entirely serious, or so it seems, about two commonplaces well-lodged within progressive discourse at the time, and a bit of knowledge that is hardly arcane.

Cashill then moves on to "parallel metaphors." This is where all of the nautical imagery comes in that I noted in my previous post. Here's a taste of the arguments:

Both books use "storms" and "horizons" both as metaphor and as reality. Ayers writes poetically of an "unbounded horizon," and Obama writes of "boundless prairie storms" and poetic horizons – "violet horizon," "eastern horizon," "western horizon."

The metaphorical use of the word "tangled" might also derive from one's nautical adventures. Ayers writes of his "tangled love affairs" and Obama of his "tangled arguments."

I've never been a merchant seaman, but my own creative work uses quite a bit of ocean imagery as well, including two poems that I blogged here in the past. Maybe Ayers wrote them. I'll never tell.

Then there are parallel "postmodern themes." Like this one:

Ayers:

"Narrative inquiry can be a useful corrective to all this."

Obama:

"Truth is usually the best corrective."

Wow! They both use the word "corrective!" But there's no common "postmodern theme" to be found--indeed, Obama's use of the word "truth" is the opposite of postmodern. "In true postmodernist fashion," says Cashill, "Ayers rejects the possibility of an objective, universal truth." But not Obama, it appears, as Cashill holes his argument at the waterline. [Stop that! --ed.]

Moving on to "60s consciousness," Cashill is struck by the fact that each author used the phrase "behind enemy lines," and believes that Obama would never have heard of the "Mekong Delta." But they both referred to it! And in his own memoir, Cashill didn't!

It gets worse. Citing another idiot, Cashill tells us that the Preface to Dreams, added when it was republished in 2004, doesn't actually say that Obama wrote the book! Therefore we must conclude...

As for computer-assisted "stylometrics," Cashill was assured by an expert that such methods are prone to error, so that he should just carry on with, well, the stuff referred to in this post. But to add weight to his analysis, Cashill tells us that no fewer than five teams of researchers have been doing the stylometric thing, with four already reporting in.

Here's a sample:

"Using the chi-square statistic," observes one professor, "Obama's and Ayers's books were indistinguishable, while Obama's book was easily distinguishable from books by other authors."

Hoo, boy. Another says Ayers might simply have edited Obama's book. Others think Obama's book had two authors. The fact that these various findings are contradictory doesn't bother Cashill in the least.

We don't know who any of these researchers are, incidentally, nor what their methodologies were. It's for their protection, claims Cashill. Look what happened to "Joe the Plumber," he says, but as I recall those wounds were largely self-inflicted.

In any event, do the cadences here sound familiar? They should. If you plough through the Truthers' stuff, and I have, they amass a "case" out of dozens of cherry-picked little tidbits as well, some of which are simply made up.

But we can, and should, go back even further, to the fons et origo of this sort of thing: the coterie of literary wingnuts who have insisted that Shakespeare was simply too oafish, ill-educated and country-bred to write the plays attributed to him.

Precisely the same kinds of "analyses" can be found in their books. The only difference is that at least some of these are considerably more convincing than anything Cashill has produced to date.

This odd bookwormy occupation continues, in fact, to the present day. In what one might call a synchronic wingnut collision, far-right American commentator Joseph Sobran turns out to be a Shakespeare authorer. And here is an excerpt from a commonsense takedown that just might have wider application:

Sobran seems to be unaware that lists of parallels such as he provides have long been looked at very skeptically in attribution studies, since writers in any era consciously or unconsciously influence each other and draw on common sources. This is especially true of Elizabethan poetry, where writers freely borrowed from each other and drew upon a large stock of common themes and images; and among Elizabethan poets, it is particularly easy to find parallels in Shakespeare, simply because his canon is so enormous and varied. Sobran acknowledges that one can find parallels between any two authors, but wildly underestimates the number, and he has apparently made no effort to compare any other writers with Shakespeare. Instead, he arbitrarily decides (on the basis of no evidence) that we could expect to find "a dozen or so" parallels between Oxford and Shakespeare, with an upper limit of "three dozen," and when he finds more than this arbitrary limit plucked out of thin air, he considers it "evidence," even "proof." But the huge majority of the parallels Sobran lists are Elizabethan commonplaces, and given his generous standards as to what constitutes a "parallel," a similar list could be compiled for any Elizabethan poet with a canon the size of Oxford's.

Truly, there is nothing new under the sun.

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Obama's literary Ayers and graces





















Kate McMillan discovers that "gullible" isn't in the dictionary.

Her readers should check for themselves while Kate is getting some obviously well-needed sleep.

Here's a more amusing read on the subject, by conspiracy theorist Jack Cashill. Supposedly Bill Ayers uses nautical imagery in Fugitive Days because he was once a merchant seaman. How is it, then, that Obama uses it in Dreams from my Father? Aha! The author, without a trace of reflection, notes that he never once used sea-imagery in his own memoir, Sucker Punch, "yet I have spent a good chunk of every summer of my life at the ocean." So if Barack Obama, a Chicago landlubber, uses it, someone else
must definitely have ghosted his autobiography. The leaps in logic here would do a premier danseur proud.

Keep it up, folks. I have a lot more popcorn here.


[H/t]

UPDATE: Reader Kevin notes that Charles Johnson of Little Green Footballs is less than impressed. But apparently he's lost right-wing street cred.

UPPERDATE: Heh. Kate's got company.

And please extend a hearty welcome

...to John Cross, our newest co-blogger, a man whose legendary politesse and scientific erudition adds considerable lustre to this blog. If I may say so, he's quite a catch.

John's "beat" is anthropogenic global warming (AGW), although he is entirely free to write about any subject that interests him.

In his own words:

John Cross is a scientist at heart but an engineer by trade. He knows very little about politics but actively follows a number of political blogs from all sides of the spectrum. He plans to post mostly about global warming but he may post on other topics on occasion.

Full disclosure: he is in no way related to the climate industry and is not affiliated with any political party. Opinions expressed by him are not necessarily that of Dr. Dawg or Marie Ève and in fact are probably not opinions at all.

Parlour's open, as always, to deniers and sceptics.

Afghanistan torture and the price of integrity











"I encourage you to … start your career planning as soon as possible."

That's Tory Defence Minister Peter MacKay, showing Peter Tinsley the door. Tinsley is presently the head of the Military Police Complaints Commission, which is attempting to get hearings underway about Canadian Forces complicity in torture in Afghanistan.

The Harper government has been throwing up a series of obstacles to prevent subpoenaed witnesses from testifying at the inquiry. I blogged about this a few days ago, but new revelations indicate that federal officials have actually threatened and intimidated witnesses, and forced them to withhold vital documents from the inquiry.

When independent inquiries start getting too close to wrongdoing by top military brass, mysterious things can and do happen. The current Tory cover-up revives uncomfortable memories of the abrupt cancellation of the Somalia inquiry by the Liberal prime minister at the time, Jean Chrétien. That inquiry was looking into the torture-murder of a Somalian boy and other gross abuses of civilians by Canadian Forces personnel. The entire fetid story of the Liberal cover-up may be found here.

Not necessarily by coincidence, there have been direct links between the Somalian and Afghanistan situations, although it should be emphasized that in the latter case the issue is complicity--the actual torture was carried out by our Afghan allies, not by the Canadian Forces.

The inability to get to the bottom of things--or the top--when military malfeasance is at issue is an instance of the "culture of impunity." We normally like to associate the phrase with other countries, but even in democratic Canada, there are people and institutions that operate outside the law, and those operations are off-limits to public scrutiny or the pains and penalties normally applied when warranted by law.

It took a man of some considerable strength of character--Peter Tinsley--to press ahead with an inquiry against all the odds. And he is paying the price for his integrity. On December 11, his term as Commissioner will come to an end. It will not be renewed. Watch for his replacement by a complaisant government puppet, and a speedy and unsatisfactory end to the MPCC's foredoomed investigation.

UPDATE: Yet more Canadian complicity in torture--of one of our own citizens. The Harper government's attempt to minimize the role played by Canadian officials in the Abdullah Almalki case has rightly been labelled "absurd" by Amnesty International. More piano-playing to come?

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

On neo-Nazis and Speech Warriors™













Conservative Speech Warriors™ are sensitive about the claim (one that I have never made) that they are effectively neo-Nazis in disguise. For those who are simply principled libertarian defenders of free speech, I can well understand their concern. But there are others in their own ranks who should be causing them concern as well.

I have, from time to time, posted articles and links that indicate a certain mush-headedness among conservatives about the company they keep. In fact, I'll go further: in the European context, there have been a number of open linkages between neo-Nazi parties like Vlaams Belang and conservatives whose main hobby-horse is Islamism.

When Charles Johnson, previously unassailable as a vocal, right-wing opponent of Islamism through his blog
Little Green Footballs, twigged to this, he became alarmed and started to document it. For his pains he has been roundly excoriated by former admirers. (You know who you are: I shan't embarrass you further.)

But let's bring this home. Rehabilitation is the new tactic: if you don't want to be tarred with the neo-Nazi brush
by association, why not adopt the "Nazi-schmazi" shtick? Hence someone like Paul Fromm (who himself has no apparent difficulty with the label) has now been reborn as a "free speech activist."

And then we have Marc Lemire.

His chief defenders these days are Mark and Connie Fournier of
Free Dominion. That assiduous pair of midwives has been assisting for some time in Lemire's difficult rebirth as a mere defender of free speech set upon by the rabid Canadian Human Rights Commission. Why, he's no neo-Nazi, never has been--or so they claim.

Needless to say, Lemire too denies the charge with unconvincing indignation:


Is Marc Lemire a “white supremacist” / “Neo-Nazi”? Of course the answer is no, but the best response I can ever give is that after being under the microscope of the CHRC (and even the police thanks to Richard Warman) for at least 6 years, they have YET TO FIND A SINGLE WORD I HAVE WRITTEN THAT IS “HATE”. All they can claim is me posting articles from newspapers, House of Commons Hansard and even the human rights act itself as “Prima Facie” evidence that I somehow promote hate.

This stuff is duly parroted by the Fourniers. And yet, here's Lemire in the bad old days of Usenet:

NOW OVER 50 MEGS OF REVISIONIST PICTURES AND TEXT FILES!!! including picture files of ERNST ZUNDEL'S house which was lit on fire by the Jewish Armed Resistance.

---

I hold the Jewish press in Canada partly to blame because they have truned Mr. Zundel into the devil. They have defamed his character forquite along time. Which after time brings these type of actions.

---

Lest your mind automatically reject the words of Hitler out of some political reflexive habit, remember that he witnessed the decline and fall of another multi-cultural state, the Austro-Hungarian Empire, so he knows what he's taking about...


Hmmm. Has a thing about Jews, and he sure knows how to cite a good source to back up his concerns about multiculturalism.

What about Holocaust-denial? Well, like some folks I know on the other side of the aisle, he's cautious about expressing such extreme views directly. He has preferred to cite, at seemingly endless length, the words, links and coordinates of other Holocaust-deniers and neo-Nazis (with some of his text helpfully translated into German), rather than venture his own opinions on the matter--much like a ventriloquist with a rather large collection of dummies. But now and then he lets the mask slip a little:

[In WWII] 50 million + people lost their lives. A large majority of them White. Who could ever say that the second world war was a good thing? I believe that there is quite alot of lies and falsehoods surrounding the Holocaust.

Take Dachau for example.The lies and hog-wash surrounding that camp sickens me.


A little moral equivalency here:

There were atrocities committed [in Dachau], but even after the Americans liberated it there were thousands of people dying. The Americans committed atrocities when the "liberated" the camp. They butchered EVERY GUARD. That is also an atrocity.


Lemire goes on and on and on at this extensive link about the killing of Nazi guard dogs. The inmates themselves don't merit nearly so much of his time.

He tells us he's no historical revisionist, but:

I do not think that Six million Jews were killed. I do know that alot of Jews were but I must serously question the six million number.

And he's critical of the Nazis having concentration camps--because they made them look bad:

I also wish that the nazi's did NOT have such camps. In the end it only worked against them. And it a huge source for Anti-German Propaganda today.

Now, here's a little dialogue on Usenet, with the final part being Lemire's contribution:

>>White supremists should be locked away in jail.
>
>>I thot there were hate laws to stop these people?
>
>Why would you want to stop them? They are uniformly inept at
>expressing themselves, uniformly bereft of language skills, and
>consistent at exposing themselves as bigoted, lying idiots. They
>are, in fact, their own worst enemies.
>
>The internet has provided the world, finally, with a clear view of
>what these people are, and what they stand for - no longer can they
>hide their lies and deceptions under their sheets.

Under our sheets???

What the hell are you talking about kenny-boy? [Ken McVay, creator of the Nizkor Holocaust website--ed.]

The Internet has provided us with a huge place where we get more and more support by the day. [emphasis added]

Who's "us," exactly? Whoops!


Holocaust denier? Who, moi?

Revisionist such as Ernst Zundel, Mark Weber, Robert Faurison and others have brought some very good evidence to the fore. And they should not be swept under the table.

And then we have these gems:


Like a wise man said once.
DEFEAT NEVER.... VICTORY FOREVER.


You can check the etiology of that slogan on Google.

What, racist? Moi?

[Lemire's BBS back in 1995 --ed.] NOW WITH OVER 600 USERS!
AND DAILY NEWS FEED FROM THE ARYAN NEWS SERVICE
--
I represent a growing underclass of White Canadians sick of what the government is doing to them.


But even back in the mid-nineties, he had turned disingenuousness into something of an art-form:

Nowadays Neo-Nazi means racist, hatemonger, anti-semite, white supremisist all wraped up into one.

Since I an none of the above I therefore cannot be a Nazi or a Neo-Nazi.


So Lemire has lots of duck friends, broadcasts their quacks for them, expresses ducky beliefs of his own--but he's no duck. No sirree.

There's lots more here, if you have the stomach to wade through it.

Now, Anti-Racism Canada has been doing a magnificent takedown of the "nazi-shmazi" claim at their place, and rather than my repeating their work here, just go there and read the last few posts.(More are on the way.) Suffice it for me to suggest that this attempted rehabilitation is surely doing the Speech Warrior™ cause more harm than good.

One last thing: I have taken Connie Fournier's threat against me, guarded as it was, far more seriously than I might have indicated at the time. Just a word to the wise, as they say, and I'd be grateful if she passed it on.


[Big tip o' the hat to Nizkor]

UPDATE: Harry Abrams, a B'nai Brith activist who has posted here, has just been banned from Free Dominion by Mark Fournier. He has been accused of falsifying a document, namely an article singing the praises of the now-defunct Heritage Front, by attributing it to Marc Lemire.

I can see why Harry did what he did: the article was posted, without comment,
by Marc Lemire at Stormfront. That doesn't prove he wrote it. But I would observe that folks don't normally reprint articles without comment in such venues unless they happen to be in general agreement with the contents. It's just another example, I think, of Lemire's well-worn "ventriloquist" tactic.

Monday, October 05, 2009

AGW scepticism: no end in sight? [guest blogpost]

My wife is from a small fishing community in Newfoundland. We were visiting there a couple of years ago and I was having a chat with one of the "old-timers" who (talking about something that Danny Williams did) said, "Well - the arse is out of 'er now". I am reminded of that expression by the crowd who don't "believe" in the theory of anthropogenic global warming. A couple of times a year something happens that causes them to shout "Well - the arse is out of her now, me b'y."

That time has come again. Last week the industrious Steve McIntyre got hold of some paleoclimate data that has been used when trying to reconstruct the earth's temperature history. After he performed his statistical magic, the rallying cry of "the arse is out of her" was sounded far and wide. I don't want to talk about that particular event (and in fact there seems to be some pretty intense back-peddling going on, for example in the Spectator link, the comment by Stephen McIntyre on Oct. 3rd at 3:26pm) but I wanted to review the past few times this has come about.

A couple of months ago, there was a similar cry and hullabaloo about a new book written by the geologist Ian Plimer. Of course Dr. Plimer's book has been pretty thoroughly reviewed by now and it has not stood up well (in fact I would venture that it is currently comatose on the floor from a case of blackdamp!).

Of course before that there was the censored EPA document. If anyone is interested, Deep Climate and RealClimate have looked at this one.

My point is that, while interesting things about the climate will keep popping up, in the age of blogs and instant communications it is worthwhile to keep the good old ideas of science in mind. While blogs can be interesting and useful, don't count your science until it has been reviewed. The next time you see someone saying that the "arse is out of 'er" you may want to wait for a week or two then check back and see how the arse is doing.

--John Cross

Fernando Manuel Alves rape case: closed courts, secret justice
















I have blogged about this case before--and been finger-wagged to death by defence lawyer/commenters who stated that the reasons for judgement and the submissions of the Crown and defence counsel should be read before anyone rushes to judgment.

OK, fair enough, although not a single day in jail for an admitted rapist just seems wrong, somehow.

Accordingly, I took up the challenge, and attempted to obtain transcripts of the documents. I was quickly informed that the judge had placed a ban on publication, under Section 486.4 of the Criminal Code.

This Section permits the usual ban to be put in place to protect the identity of the complainant and wirnesses in such cases. It reads in part: "(1) [T]he presiding judge or justice may make an order directing that any information that could identify the complainant or a witness shall not be published in any document or broadcast or transmitted in any way."

So I addressed the following self-explanatory letter to the judge who decided this case, the Honourable Judge Gregory Rideout:


Judge Gregory Rideout
222 Main Street
Judges Chambers
Vancouver, BC.

Dear Judge Rideout:

I am a blogger who is interested in a recent case over which you presided, in which a Mr. Fernando Manuel Alves was given a conditional sentence for sexual assault.

I have applied to the local transcription services for the reasons for sentence, as well as the submissions of opposing counsel. I have just been informed by that agency (please see attached) that you placed a ban on release of these materials under Section 486.4 (4) of the Criminal Code.

As I understand it, this ban is usually imposed to protect the identity of complainants in such cases. I have no interest in obtaining the identity of this person, and would be entirely satisfied with a transcript that redacted her name.

Hence I am formally requesting that you modify the ban to permit the release of the documents with the complainant’s name removed.

I look forward to your positive response.

Sincerely,


Readers will note that I left out the possibility of redacting the names of witnesses, and identifying information, but my intent was nevertheless clear.

In the mail on September 24th, I received the following:


Dear Sir:

I received correspondence via facsimile on September 15, 2009, seeking release of the Reasons for Judgement in R. v. Fernando Manuel Alves. At this point subject to a bona fide reason why you are looking to obtain submissions and reasons for sentence, the Honourable Judge G. Rideout would not be inclined to alter the ban on publication.

Yours truly,

That actually seemed reasonable to me--why not explain myself?

So I faxed back the following, same day:


Dear Judge Rideout:

I am in receipt of a communication from your office dated September 15 with respect to my request for the release of the Reasons for Judgement in R. v. Fernando Manuel Alves.

It is suggested that I state a "bona fide" reason for my request. In case I was too allusive in my first communication, I am concerned about the public perception of the extremely light, non-custodial sentence handed down in this case. That sentence does not, given the facts that are already public, appear to be commensurate with the brutal assault to which the defendant pleaded guilty. Public confidence in the administration of justice can be eroded by such perceptions.

Accordingly, I would like to write an article that provides the other side, if you will. As indicated earlier, I would be satisfied with a transcript that redacted names and identifying information of the complainant and any witnesses.

I regret having not been clearer in my first letter, and look forward to your positive response to this one.

Sincerely,


This morning I received this:

Dear Sirs [sic]:

RE: R. v. Fernando Manuel Alves

Thank you for your correspondence of recent date. I have been advised by the Honourable Judge G. Rideout that a transcript of Reasons for Sentence for your stated reason do not meet appropriate criteria to release the transcript even with deletions of names.

Yours truly,


So there we must leave it. Obviously I was attempting to accommodate myself to the requirements of the Criminal Code provision by expressing my willingness to accept a redacted transcript. No dice.

Instead, with the lordly presumption that too many unelected judges assume once they are elevated to the bench, I was told, second-hand, to get lost. Public confidence in the ability of the legal system to deliver justice does not appear to be a "bona fide" reason to release what should be on the public record anyway.

Or could it be that the good judge is simply being timorous about allowing the reasons to be known for his "boys will be boys" wrist-slap? Your guess is as good as mine.

UPDATE: (October 6) Reader and lawyer "truewest" suggests that I press on. Accordingly, I have this morning written back to Judge Rideout to ask what the "appropriate criteria" are for access to his Reasons for Sentence. Stay tuned.

Mad Hatters Tea Party

Big City Lib brings his formidable research and analysis skills to bear upon the fizzle that was Canada's first copycat Teabagger protest. 100 people in the pouring rain? You decide.



By the way, I think I've figured out where all that rain came from: